New Report Finds Connecticut’s High School Graduation Rates Are Overstated
Analysis Reveals Gaps as Large as 33 points Between Independent and Official District Graduation Rates
Updated: June 14, 2007
Contact: Marc Porter Magee
Tel: 203-772-4017 x14
Cell: 203-586-9313
Email: marc.magee@conncan.org
Download table with complete results for class of 2004.
Download table with complete results for class of 2003.
A school system’s high school graduation rate is one of the most important indicators of its success. Research has demonstrated that, on average:
- High school dropouts earn just 37 cents for every dollar earned by high school graduates.
- High school dropouts live 9 years less than high school graduates.
- Every 10 percent increase in high school graduation rates is correlated with a 13 percent lower rate of auto thefts and a 20 percent lower rate of murders and assaults.
While the consequences of a low graduation rate are clear, a new report released May 30th by Education Week’s Project Graduation suggests that Connecticut’s official graduation rates are anything but.
Drawing upon results from the U.S. Department of Education’s Common Core of Data (CCD) on the class of 2004, Education Week’s Project Graduation calculated graduation rates for 93 percent of all public school districts in the United States using the Cumulative Promotion Index (CPI) method. This approach represents graduating from high school as a four-year process from 9 through 12 grade, rather than a single event, and measures graduation based on receipt of a standard diploma rather than a GED or other equivalency degrees. (It is important to note that this methodology uses a baseline of all 9th grade students, counting transfers to parochial, private or other district schools as well as dropouts in the category of non-graduates of the system while counting transfers into the system as graduates.)
ConnCAN’s comparison of the Project Graduation results to official Connecticut State Department of Education figures reveals significant discrepancies between this cumulative approach and the official rates:
- The overall graduation rate for Connecticut in the Project Graduation study was 10 points lower than the official statewide average of 90 percent.
- In 90 percent of Connecticut districts, the Project Graduation rates were lower than the official graduation rates.
- In 43 percent of Connecticut districts, the Project Graduation rates were 10 points or more below the official graduation rate.
- In 13 districts the Project Graduation rates were 20 or more points below the official graduation rate: Manchester (33.1 points below), Stafford (31.2), Middletown (29.5), Bloomfield (28.0), Hartford (25.5), Plymouth (23.5), Brookfield (22.1), East Hartford (21.9), Bethel (21.7), Rocky Hill (21.1), New Haven (21.1), Vernon (20.9), and Putnam (20.8).
The Project Graduation report comes on the heels of a national push to measure high school graduation rates more accurately, including the adoption of a “Compact on State High School Graduation Data” developed by the National Governors Association and endorsed by Alliance for Excellent Education, Association of American Colleges & Universities, Education Commission of the States, National Education Association, and The Education Trust. The compact calls for a uniform standard with three key characteristics: 1) four-year adjusted cohort graduation rates, 2) longitudinal tracking of individual students from preschool through postsecondary education, and 3) straightforward annual reports on rates of graduations, completions and dropouts.
“This new report by Education Week confirms the need for more accurate and transparent information on the outcomes for kids in Connecticut’s public schools,” said Alex Johnston, executive director of ConnCAN. “It’s past time we developed a comprehensive and publicly-accessible system for tracking the progress of every public school student in our state.”
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The Connecticut Coalition for Achievement Now (ConnCAN) is a statewide outreach, education, and research organization working to close Connecticut’s achievement gap. To learn more visit: www.conncan.org.